Monitoring Land Cover Changes in Bory Tucholskie After the 2017 Windstorm

Location: Przymuszewo Forest District, Bory Tucholskie, Poland Software: ERDAS Imagine Data sources: Sentinel-2 satellite imagery (2015, 2019) This project involved a detailed analysis of land cover changes in the Bory Tucholskie region, which suffered extensive forest damage due to a severe windstorm in 2017. The main objective was to detect deforestation and forest succession between 2015 and 2019 using satellite imagery and remote sensing techniques.

Key tasks:

  • Data preprocessing: Created multispectral composites from Sentinel-2 imagery (2015 and 2019) and clipped the images to the forest district boundary.
  • Land cover classification: Performed supervised classification using training samples based on four land cover classes: forest, agricultural/low vegetation areas, built-up areas, and water bodies. The classification was conducted using the maximum likelihood algorithm, and results were aggregated into two main categories: forest and non-forest.
  • Change detection – qualitative approach: Applied post-classification comparison to identify areas of deforestation, afforestation, and unchanged land. Compared results with Hansen et al.’s Global Forest Change dataset.
  • Change detection – quantitative approach: Calculated NDVI values for both years and generated an NDVI difference map. Applied thresholding via a graphical model in ERDAS Model Maker to classify areas with significant vegetation loss or gain.
  • Comparison of methods: Compared both change detection approaches to highlight consistent results as well as discrepancies caused by different vegetation dynamics (e.g., coniferous forest replaced by high-NDVI grassland).

Outcome:

The project successfully identified environmental changes caused by natural disaster and vegetation dynamics, showcasing the use of remote sensing and GIS techniques in environmental monitoring and land management.

Change Statistics

Forest Loss

12.5%

Mostly in southern sectors

Forest Gain

8.3%

Natural regeneration areas

Stable Forest

79.2%

Core protected zones

Technical Details

Data Sources

  • Sentinel-2 MSI L2A
  • Forest Management Maps
  • Field Validation Data

Methodology

  • Random Forest Classification
  • NDVI Time-Series Analysis
  • Post-Classification Comparison